Thoughts on the Russo-Ukranian War?

We might see the IS-2 tanks before we see any T-34s in Ukraine.

Ukraine claims they have broken through the Russian defense line in the south and the Russians have deployed their 76th airborne to counter the Ukrainian break through.
I have a small concern over this current "breakthrough" as even though they appear to be gaining ground in the southern axis of it, they don't appear to be able to widen the breech at this point it is only 10-15km wide, now obviously I don't know the terrain or the plan but looking at it as a novice doesn't this leave them at greater risk of being cut off?
 
I have a small concern over this current "breakthrough" as even though they appear to be gaining ground in the southern axis of it, they don't appear to be able to widen the breech at this point it is only 10-15km wide, now obviously I don't know the terrain or the plan but looking at it as a novice doesn't this leave them at greater risk of being cut off?
That is a risk, but it depends on what the neighboring Ukrainian units are doing. If they are able to pin the neighboring Russian units in the current locations it can work for the Ukrainians. It also depends on if the Russians can deploy other units to block the Ukrainian penetration. I get the impression (it might be wrong due to the fog of war) the Russians have logistical problems and cannot move significant amount of forces around. I have wondered if the Russians have enough of reserves. It seems they have committed all available forces to defend against the Ukrainian assaults, except in the Kharkiv sector where they are attacking and gaining some ground.

It will be interesting to see if the Ukrainians can keep up the pressure and logistically support the offensive now when they are through one defensive line.
 
An interesting warning...

I figure as long as it doesn't look like a school, supermarket, playground or hospital it should be fairly safe from the Russians.
Infact the more military it looks the less interest they will have in it so paint it to look like a HIMARS system and it will be safe as churches.
 
According to ISW, the Russians are taking units from different combined armies and mixing them to defend against the Ukrainian counter offensive. That can be a sign the Russians are facing huge problems and lacking strategic reserves
 
According to ISW, the Russians are taking units from different combined armies and mixing them to defend against the Ukrainian counter offensive. That can be a sign the Russians are facing huge problems and lacking strategic reserves
They may be trying to reconstitute "elite" units by combining them with others but I suspect their problem is equipping new units.
They have spent most of their best units by committing them piecemeal and poorly supported.

The problem is that Ukraine doesn't have the numbers or equipment to take advantage of the mess the Russians are in.
 
They may be trying to reconstitute "elite" units by combining them with others but I suspect their problem is equipping new units.
They have spent most of their best units by committing them piecemeal and poorly supported.

The problem is that Ukraine doesn't have the numbers or equipment to take advantage of the mess the Russians are in.
The Ukrainians are pretty good at smashing the Russian logistics, but I get the impression the Russians aren't equally good at smashing the Ukrainian logistics. However, the west has created a logistical nightmare for the Ukrainians, but despite that. The Ukrainians are really good at making the logistical mess to work. I think that is what we can learn from this war.

The Ukrainians aren't telling if the Russians are messing up their logistical chains, but they seem to prefer to hit playgrounds, shopping malls, restaurants, or any other civilian locations. The Ukrainians can achieve a lot if they can ruin the Russian logistics and make them unable to continue the fight.
 
The Ukrainians are pretty good at smashing the Russian logistics, but I get the impression the Russians aren't equally good at smashing the Ukrainian logistics. However, the west has created a logistical nightmare for the Ukrainians, but despite that. The Ukrainians are really good at making the logistical mess to work. I think that is what we can learn from this war.

The Ukrainians aren't telling if the Russians are messing up their logistical chains, but they seem to prefer to hit playgrounds, shopping malls, restaurants, or any other civilian locations. The Ukrainians can achieve a lot if they can ruin the Russian logistics and make them unable to continue the fight.
I am not certain there is a lot the west can learn from this, I can't imagine the west would consider an offensive of this nature without an air force paving the way.
What Ukraine has achieved without any level of parity in the air is remarkable and probably can be attributed to their ability to adapt.
 
I am not certain there is a lot the west can learn from this, I can't imagine the west would consider an offensive of this nature without an air force paving the way.
What Ukraine has achieved without any level of parity in the air is remarkable and probably can be attributed to their ability to adapt.
The logistics are all the armies Achilles heel and with all the different APCs, IFVs, MBTs, artillery systems, ammunition, and soon fighter planes. The Ukrainians get it to work. I begin to think this is not handled by the Ukrainians but by private companies.
 
The logistics are all the armies Achilles heel and with all the different APCs, IFVs, MBTs, artillery systems, ammunition, and soon fighter planes. The Ukrainians get it to work. I begin to think this is not handled by the Ukrainians but by private companies.
I don't know I think Ukraine is following the old maxim that "necessity is the mother of all invention" for example the west doesn't need to bolt NATO weapons to Russian aircraft.

Here is a question for you, could mines be cleared by a fuel air explosive or a shaped charge?
 
According to ISW, the Russians are taking units from different combined armies and mixing them to defend against the Ukrainian counter offensive. That can be a sign the Russians are facing huge problems and lacking strategic reserves

Looks like Russia is using some of their more elite units to try and blunt the southern Ukrainian offensive.

 
I don't know I think Ukraine is following the old maxim that "necessity is the mother of all invention" for example the west doesn't need to bolt NATO weapons to Russian aircraft.

Here is a question for you, could mines be cleared by a fuel air explosive or a shaped charge?
Aerosol weapons can be used for mine clearing when they create a high air pressure. These shape charged looking like a hose clear a path through the minefield, but these paths can be targeted by the enemy's AT weapons, machine guns etc. Artillery can also be used to clear minefields when the shells create shockwaves through the ground.
 
Looks like Russia is using some of their more elite units to try and blunt the southern Ukrainian offensive.

Yes, I read it. This unit has been fighting around Bakhmut since the Russians withdraw the Wagner group. It has also been fighting in the Russian offensive in the Kharkiv sector
 
Looks like Russia is using some of their more elite units to try and blunt the southern Ukrainian offensive.

The question is, what condition are they in.
At one stage these units were the best Russia had but a lot of them were mauled badly in the first weeks and have had to be reconstituted some several times which makes them about as elite as the mobilized mob in the trench next door.
Looks like Russia is using some of their more elite units to try and blunt the southern Ukrainian offensive.

The question is really what condition these units are in, it seems most of their "elite" units were mauled fairly badly at the start of the conflict and have had to be reconstituted some several times so they may be "elite" in name only at this stage.
Aerosol weapons can be used for mine clearing when they create a high air pressure. These shape charged looking like a hose clear a path through the minefield, but these paths can be targeted by the enemy's AT weapons, machine guns etc. Artillery can also be used to clear minefields when the shells create shockwaves through the ground.
As I understand it the miclic is a string of mini shaped charges but what I was wondering was whether an air burst charge with a decent shockwave couldn't cheaply and rapidly clear mines.
 
The question is, what condition are they in.
At one stage these units were the best Russia had but a lot of them were mauled badly in the first weeks and have had to be reconstituted some several times which makes them about as elite as the mobilized mob in the trench next door.
The question is really what condition these units are in, it seems most of their "elite" units were mauled fairly badly at the start of the conflict and have had to be reconstituted some several times so they may be "elite" in name only at this stage.
As I understand it the miclic is a string of mini shaped charges but what I was wondering was whether an air burst charge with a decent shockwave couldn't cheaply and rapidly clear mines.
Mines are usually direct on the ground or just under the surface. It depends how they got there. Mines can be spread by artillery or by air, but if so, they aren't camouflaged. If they have been deployed by the engineers, they are usually hidden. I think the FAE weapons deployed by an airplane is better to clear a wider area of mines. I don't know how big this area can be.

The mines will be a problem for decades and it is a dangerous job to clear the land from them.

The Russian airborne units have suffered a lot of casualties and it takes a long time to get new ones. I hear much lesser about the Russian marines and they are supposed to be elite too
 
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