You should, because I don't think you have a clear pictureOllie Garchy said:Gladius,
I do not have to read the other posts of this thread to understand Muslim military technology.
What about Pakistan they are Muslim aren't they.They have the Bomb. Or maybe you didn't know that.1) Iran's potential to create a nuclear bomb is overrated. They need 5-10 years in order to produce a few small variants. These bombs would be smaller than those used at Hiroshima. MAD concepts would not come into play. Remember that the US arsenal includes thousands of deadly hydrogen devices.
This isn't something to be seen from a one country perspective, but from a whole region united under one Empire.
You don't know EMP is used do you?2) Iran's rockets (the Shahab I to III) are complete junk. They have minimal payloads, minimal range and poor defensive capabilities against western anti-missile defence systems. War is in any case far more than just nukes, rockets or tanks. A whole range of issues such as strategy, operational methods, tactics, societal values, etc. come into play.
They will only need one, and it would be detonated in the upper atmosphere, out of range of any ABM's. And the technology that can be used for this is comparable to V-2 rocket tech, so it doesn't matter if the Shahab III's are crap.
Have you heard of a guy named Saddam Hussien? At one point he did have the 4th largest army in the world. Did they manifacture any of their weapons? NO!3) MOST IMPORTANT: Iran does not have the industrial infrastructure necessary to produce major weapons systems such as tanks or artillery in large quantities. In order to do so, Iran (and other Muslim countries) will have to industrialize and successfully sell civilian commodities on the world market. They need capacities such as those in the west. Otherwise, a massive rearmament program will bankrupt the Middle East and lead nowhere. How can Iran compete with say Germany in tank or artillery design? The Iranians cannot. The Germans have a proven development infrastructure funded by state expenditures and built on companies whose names include Daimler, etc. Is this German infrastructure going to stop designing new weapons or disappear? Hardly. What about the Americans? Do you know how hard and expensive it is to build a stealth bomber? What about the next generation of robotic weapons systems?
So you don't need manifacturing capability to build a large war machine. Besides Iran does manifacture their own tanks.
They don't need to match the West technologicaly. They have 4 things that will even the odds:
1) Superior Numbers.
2) EMP.
3) Large numbers of Muslims already in Europe.
4) Fanaticism to give their live in exchange for yours.
They are failling right now, within 50 to 100 years the projection is that Europe will be completely assimilated.All of the hypotheses concerning the rise of the Muslim world (or even China) are built on the assumption that the West will remain stagnant, fail to respond over a 20-year period, or even decline.
The military might may still be there, but the question is will the West have the political will to use it. My feeling is that, not until its too late.
I already gave the example of why they don't have to compete industrialy. So where my million bucks?!This hypothesis, considering massive American financing of weapons technology, is just stupid. The US spends over $500 billion per year on the military. Do you honestly think that this money will not produce any results? What about the $100 billion spent by Europe? Come on! The West is still in control of modern technological breakthroughs. The Third World is trying to play catch up. At the current rates of development, the West will only widen the breach between the two. What will the Muslim world do to develop a competitive industrial system? Good luck figuring that one out. It will make you a millionaire if you do.
Maybe not Allah, but their will to believe that they someday will conquer the world as in their prophecies.Conclusion: The Muslim world will have to do a lot of praying. Only Allah will be able to alter the current balance of power.
Are there any countermeasure right now? I don't see any.Do you honestly believe that the west would not develop a countermeasure for the EMP weapon?]
Do you understand what it will take to do this? It will take an upgrading of everything from top to botton with EMP hardened electronics, electronics which are way more expensive and lagging way behind in the technology of the non-hardened electronics.
Even if there was, it will be primarily restricted to the military the civilian infrastucture would be crippled.
The things you have pointed out has be discused in this thread several times already, I though you would give me soemthing new to think about.
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