I agree that a long term peace between the Germany and Russia would have spelled doom for Britian. However, Zukhov had crafted a plan to invade Germany and Russia was preparing to implement it when German initiated Barbarossa. This IMHO is why Germany was so successful initially as the Russians were caught by surprise in their assembly areas.
I am coming late to this forum and wish to add a few more comments.
1. I believe that had Hitler allowed Hoth and Guderian to complete their attack on Moscow, before drawing down their forces to attack the Crimea, this would have significantly impacted Russias morale and ability to counterattack in the Winter.
2. Hitler placed too much faith in Goering's promise to win the Battle of Britain. The focus of the Luftwaffe should have been the destruction of the RAF, not city bombing.
3. Germany was planning Sealion as a really wide river crossing. They should have concentrated on elimiating the RAF, then the Royal Navy, then worried about Sealion.
4. Hitler should have let slip Guderians leash and allowed him to destroy the BEF at Dunkirk. Remeber that both France and the BEF were still reeling from the gains that Guderian had made. One of the reasons that Guderian was so successful was that, unlike the French and British commanders, he did not tie his armored forces to the infantry. That in addition to motorization and mechanization of supporting forces significantly added to the mobility of the formations attacking in the West.
5. Germany should have done a better job at planning Barbaroosa. After their successes in the West, Hitler and the General Staff felt that Barbarossa would be concluded before the onset of the Russian winter. They did not follow the axiom "Plan for the worst and hope for the best." If they did, their troops would have had the winterclothing and replacement parts that were needed to continue Barabarossa through the winter.
I certainly agree with you when you say Moscow should have been taken first. Not only would this impact Morale as you suggest, but it also cuts the western part of Russia in half. Moscow was the communication hub at the time and the north viz: Leningrad, and the south around Sevastopol wouldn't know what was really happening. You can flip a coin to drive your forces north or south. The idea is to attack en masse. It's like he never learned a thing from his victory's in the west
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And yes there were all sorts of plans for an attack on the Germans, but thats all they were, just plans. There is nothing in any historical reading or studying the atlases of war at that time which suggests Stalin was planning to attack Germany. Not in 1941 and not in 1942 and 3. The man actually went out of his way to not offend the Germans. Stalin unlike Hitler was under no illusions of some great crusade like the Nazi's saw Barbarossa. He knew he was a dictator who had an agreement with another dictator and the idea of eventually getting India kept him euphoric
Of couse the luftwaffe should have kept going after the radar and the air-bases, as well as the airforce industry. Why it stopped and the larger city's were bombed instead is a very funny story in itself. You have probably heard it many times, so i'll omit.
Actually I agree with Raedar, Manstein, and Rommel who seemed to be the first to realize England and eventually the Soviet Union could be conquered by taking North africa and especialy the Suez Canal. Poor Rommel was constantly under-strengthed and there were many more panzer divisions and mororized infantry available. Hitler refused to let Rommel use more than one panzer division and two infantry. It wasn't enough. But with the taking of North Africa, the rest of the middle east is quite easily accessible. Palestine Syria, Iran and once the island of Malta is taken The Mediterranian becomes an Axis lake. The entire war picture is different.
I believe Sea- Lion would be incredibly hard to pull off. My reason is because of 2 letters RN
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