See, for the same reasons I think Duke will win it. John Scheyer and Nolan Smith are game pace setters. It won't be up to Butler, it'll be up to them.
Butler's center is 6-11, 239, and a freshman.
Brian Zoubek is 7-1, 268, and a senior. I think boards will be a major problem, both offensively and defensively. And Duke WILL make a 2nd chance shot.
You forget, Duke hasn't been in the Final Four in a while. They're going into this not with a cocky attitude, but a determined one. Those seniors want a championship, badly. They want it for themselves, for their fans, and probably most importantly to them, Coach K. If you've been following them (Which I know you have. Just like when I watch Glenn Beck) they always mention him. No matter who is being interviewed, they want it for Coach K.