This maybe terrible news for Iran:
NATIONAL SECURITY
U.S. to provide 5,000 Precision-Guided Bombs to Israel BY DAVID WOOD
Sept. 23, 2004
http://www.newhousenews.com/archive/wood092304.html
WASHINGTON -- Amid growing concern that Israel might launch a pre-emptive
strike against Iran's budding nuclear program, the United States is moving ahead
with the transfer to Israel of 5,000 heavy, precision-guided bombs, including
500 "earth-penetrating" 2,000-pound bombs designed for use against underground
facilities.
The $319 million arms transfer, proposed by the Bush administration June 1,
went ahead after Congress took no action during its 30-day review period, Jose
Ibarra, a spokesman for the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, said
Wednesday. The deal is being financed from this year's $2.16 billion military
assistance grant to Israel.
The transfer also includes 2,500 2,000-pound Mark-84 bombs, 500 1,000-pound
Mark-83 bombs, 1,500 500-pound Mark-82 bombs and live fuses. All the bombs are
being fitted with the Joint Direct Air Munitions (JDAM) kit which uses
inertial guidance and beacons from U.S. military Global Positioning Satellites for
deadly accuracy.
"That's an arsenal for war," said Joseph Cirincione, senior associate for
non-proliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in
Washington. He said any attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, clustered in three major
complexes and dozens of other sites, "wouldn't be a pinprick strike; it would
have to be a large-scale military airstrike that would result in large-scale
casualties."
Asked Wednesday about Iran's nuclear program and the potential for an Israeli
pre-emptive strike, Secretary of State Colin Powell told reporters the United
States is trying to use "diplomacy and political efforts to stop this
movement on the part of the Iranians toward a nuclear weapon." He did not directly
address U.S. transfers of advanced munitions to Israel.
Some U.S. officials acknowledge privately that the Bush administration is
split on how to react to Iran's apparent intention to obtain nuclear weapons,
with some advocating forceful military action and others pushing for concerted
international diplomatic pressure. Powell said Wednesday he expects the issue to
be referred to the U.N. Security Council if there is no resolution within a
month. Economic sanctions against Iran could follow.
War games run at the CIA and Defense Intelligence Agency to examine the
repercussions of a military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities have
consistently reached a chilling conclusion: Iran would unleash a wave of terrorism
against Israeli targets worldwide and against U.S. troops in the Middle East. Some
140,000 American military personnel are currently stationed adjacent to Iran
in Iraq and Kuwait.
Iranian missiles have the range to hit U.S. bases in the region.
An Israeli strike, and the wider war it might touch off, also could send oil
prices skyrocketing and jeopardize the global economy, analysts say.
Jay Greer, an official at the State Department's political-military bureau,
which oversees arms sales and transfers, said giving the weapons to Israel
"will in our view enhance U.S. national security and foreign policy interests and
help maintain Israel's qualitative military edge in the region."
Asked whether the transfer makes sense amid the growing confrontation over
Iran's nuclear program, Greer said, "I can't talk about that."
Israeli officials have said allowing Iran to develop nuclear weapons would
threaten Israel's very existence. Last fall, Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz was
reported saying that "under no circumstances would Israel be able to tolerate
nuclear weapons in Iranian possession."
Iran, which insists its efforts are aimed only at developing reliable
electric power sources, this week said it has begun a critical step in processing
uranium into nuclear reactor fuel or nuclear bomb material: converting uranium
ore, or "yellowcake," into gas. In gas form, uranium can be run through
high-speed centrifuges to separate out the concentrated or "enriched" uranium.
That material, which terrorists could pack around a conventional explosive to
make a "dirty bomb," is highly regulated by the International Atomic Energy
Agency.
This past weekend, the agency demanded that Iran immediately stop all
uranium-enrichment processing. In reply, Iran announced Tuesday it was starting the
process of converting some 37 tons of yellowcake into gas.
Military analysts say any Israeli pre-emptive strike would entail destruction
not only of Iran's nuclear reactors under construction at Bushehr and Arak
and the gas centrifuge facility at Natanz, but would target mobile missile
launchers, strike aircraft and other weapons in order to prevent a retaliatory
attack.
An attack of that scope would take two to three days of continuous
airstrikes. Intelligence assessments suggest Israel would drop at least 3,000
precision-guided munitions.
Under the U.S. Arms Export Control Act, countries receiving American weapons
are allowed to use them for internal security, legitimate self-defense or for
"preventing or hindering the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction."
An Israeli source in Washington, speaking on condition of anonymity, said
Israel purchases military equipment "on an ongoing basis" from the United States
but added, "We cannot confirm any specific deals."
A Pentagon memorandum discussing the arms transfer said it would help
"improve the security of a friendly country that has been and continues to be an
important force for political stability and economic progress in the Middle East."
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